Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,247$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(559 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(43.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,209.4}{1 + 10^{-0.057 (t - 37.6)}}\) (asimptote \(2,209.4\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $106$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(20.5 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{104.0}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.1)}}\) (asimptote \(104.0\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $11$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $45,924$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(3.3 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{48,688.7}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 68.8)}}\) (asimptote \(48,688.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $4,717$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(579 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,647.1}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 46.7)}}\) (asimptote \(4,647.1\))
Start date 2020-02-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $41,207$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,576$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(2.59 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.006t}\) (doubling rate \(50.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,220.0}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 31.9)}}\) (asimptote \(8,220.0\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $239$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(68.1 \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(40.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{232.7}{1 + 10^{-0.059 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(232.7\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $199$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-01 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,025$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.11 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,961.7}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 48.4)}}\) (asimptote \(6,961.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $324$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(61.1 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{318.5}{1 + 10^{-0.053 (t - 35.4)}}\) (asimptote \(318.5\))
Start date 2020-03-05 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $901$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $12,201$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(2.51 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(38.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,873.9}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 41.2)}}\) (asimptote \(11,873.9\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $593$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(145 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{571.7}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 32.5)}}\) (asimptote \(571.7\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $559$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,807$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(647 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(55.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,803.3}{1 + 10^{-0.077 (t - 29.3)}}\) (asimptote \(1,803.3\))
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(4.21 \times 10^{0.005t}\) (doubling rate \(55.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{10.1}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 22.4)}}\) (asimptote \(10.1\))
Start date 2020-02-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $59,437$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.16 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(36.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{57,401.9}{1 + 10^{-0.046 (t - 41.4)}}\) (asimptote \(57,401.9\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,619$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.9 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(33.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,300.3}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 37.6)}}\) (asimptote \(9,300.3\))
Start date 2020-03-03 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33,494$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $290,581$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(3.38 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(28.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{287,028.3}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 52.5)}}\) (asimptote \(287,028.3\))
Start date 2020-03-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $40,968$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(6.09 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{39,003.0}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 43.6)}}\) (asimptote \(39,003.0\))
Start date 2020-03-04 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $248,356$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-02-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $235,561$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(5.26 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.007t}\) (doubling rate \(43.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{229,320.8}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 42.5)}}\) (asimptote \(229,320.8\))
Start date 2020-02-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $34,043$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(6.65 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(39.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{32,909.4}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 44.7)}}\) (asimptote \(32,909.4\))
Start date 2020-02-23 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $32,872$ on 2020-06-09
